Afghanistan’s victory against England means that it is now a three-way fight for the semi-final qualification from Group B, with two games. Australia (three points, NRR 0.475) takes to Afghanistan (two points, NRR -0.99) on Friday, while South Africa (three points, NRR 2.14) face England on Saturday. Here is an interpreter that will be qualified on the basis of those two results.
If Australia and South Africa win
Australia and South Africa will qualify with five points in each. The top position in the group will be decided by Jeet Margine, with the favorite South Africa, to finish first, looking at his widespread victory against Afghanistan. Australia needs to win 87 runs (with the total first innings) to go to the rear of NRR in South Africa, assuming a win of a run for South Africa after South Africa scored.
If Australia and England wins
Australia will top the group with five points, while South Africa will still finish second in three.
If Afghanistan and South Africa win
South Africa will be the top with five points, while Afghanistan will range from Australia, with four points.
If Afghanistan and England wins
Afghanistan will end at the top with four points. The second place will then go to Australia or South Africa, which will finish both on three points. South Africa is currently well ahead at the net run rate, which means that they would have a major loss for England to Australia to proceed on NRR. For example, if Australia loses by just one run after Australia Afghanistan score 300, South Africa would have lost the same target from 87, to slip under Australia for its NRR.
If Australia-Afghanistan is washed
There is a possibility of rain in Lahore on Friday. If points are shared in that game, Australia will go up to four points and assurance of merit.
If South Africa defeated England, they will top the group with five points, but if England wins, South Africa and Afghanistan will end on three points, which will bring NRR into the equation. Afghanistan (NRR -0.99) will be almost certainly eliminated, as they will need to move to second place and qualify from at least 207 runs (301 chasing) to South Africa.
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